Johns Hopkins
W-L: (17- 5) PR = 94.2239Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 17- 7 211 H Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 8, 89.5) 14- 8 215 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-13 221 A Penn Ivy League ( 8- 8, 89.1) 15- 9 224 H Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 6-12 228 H Colgate Patriot ( 5-10, 81.3) 24- 6 303 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 12-10 308 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 13-11 315 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 15-12 319 H Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 20- 5 322 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 18-12 326 H Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 12-15 329 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 12-16 404 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 21- 9 412 H Michigan Big Ten (13- 7, 93.9) 13- 6 416 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 10- 9 422 N Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 14- 9 424 N Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 14-15 508 H Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 21- 7 510 H Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 21-13 514 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 13-12 522 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 11-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Liberty 17- 7 10 11 -1.18
211 H Loyola (MD) 14- 8 6 6 -0.06
215 A Duke 14-13 1 2 -0.89
221 A Penn 15- 9 6 4 + 2.28
224 H Georgetown 6-12 -6 6 --- -11.63
228 H Colgate 24- 6 18 14 0.00
303 H James Madison 12-10 2 5 - -2.73
308 H Stony Brook 13-11 2 2 0.12
315 A Rutgers 15-12 3 2 1.03
319 H Southern California 20- 5 15 9 ++ 4.94
322 H Ohio State 18-12 6 5 0.50
326 H Maryland 12-15 -3 2 -- -4.94
329 A Northwestern 12-16 -4 -4 0.06
404 A Oregon 21- 9 12 11 0.93
412 H Michigan 13- 6 7 2 ++ 5.33
416 A Penn State 10- 9 1 0 1.49
422 N Rutgers 14- 9 5 3 1.66
424 N Maryland 14-15 -1 1 -1.57
508 H Albany 21- 7 14 11 + 2.62
510 H Army 21-13 8 4 + 3.86
514 H Stony Brook 13-12 1 2 -0.88
522 A Northwestern 11-16 -5 -4 -0.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Georgetown 6-12 -6 6 --- -11.63 326 H Maryland 12-15 -3 2 -- -4.94 303 H James Madison 12-10 2 5 - -2.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Southern California 20- 5 15 9 ++ 4.94 412 H Michigan 13- 6 7 2 ++ 5.33 221 A Penn 15- 9 6 4 + 2.28 508 H Albany 21- 7 14 11 + 2.62 510 H Army 21-13 8 4 + 3.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 17- 7 -18.22 21.95 1.37 0.79 36.72
3 H Loyola (MD) (12- 8, 89.5) 14- 8 -10.37 29.80 -1.37 0.79 44.78
3 A Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-13 -8.94 31.23 1.37 0.79 51.34
3 A Penn ( 8- 8, 89.1) 15- 9 -10.76 29.40 1.37 0.79 48.46
3 H Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 6-12 -9.94 30.23 -1.37 0.79 -4.45
3 H Colgate ( 5-10, 81.3) 24- 6 -18.56 21.61 -1.37 0.79 31.88
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 12-10 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 0.79 46.87
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 13-11 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 0.79 51.35
3 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 15-12 -9.02 31.15 1.37 0.79 51.21
3 H Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 20- 5 -13.37 26.80 -1.37 0.79 40.05
3 H Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 18-12 -9.80 30.36 -1.37 0.79 45.66
3 H Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 12-15 -6.24 33.92 -1.37 0.79 -3.00
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 12-16 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.79 -0.64
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 21- 9 -18.12 22.05 1.37 0.79 36.88
3 H Michigan (13- 7, 93.9) 13- 6 -5.98 34.19 -1.37 0.79 51.68
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 10- 9 -6.55 33.61 1.37 0.79 55.09
3 N Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 14- 9 -9.02 31.15 -0.00 0.79 49.06
3 N Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 14-15 -6.24 33.92 -0.00 0.79 -2.46
3 H Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 21- 7 -15.69 24.48 -1.37 0.79 36.40
3 H Army (15- 5, 91.5) 21-13 -8.45 31.72 -1.37 0.79 47.80
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 13-12 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 0.79 51.35
3 A Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 11-16 -2.98 37.18 1.37 0.79 -0.64
------
765.42
|
winning pts = 776.6016 losing points = -11.1817
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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